10 Comments
Dec 3, 2022Liked by Prometheus Research

amazing stuff

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author

Thank you!

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Thanks for this. Three things

1. Please add a comparison of returns from the Prometheus ETF vs the SPY. Without a comparison to the market, we can't tell if the PETF is performing well.

2. Please change the color scheme used in the "Market Regime Monitor" graph. Green, yellow, and red are used for multiple meanings and consequently causes confusion when reading the graph. For example, green is used to represent the "increasing growth, decreasing inflation" regime as well as the percent chance of any regime's presence being >25%.

3. Please significantly reduce the timescale of the "Timing Tools: Market Cycle Recognition". (A) Looking at the returns of say IEI 50 years ago isn't useful to me and (B) the vertical market regime bands change too frequently in the 50-year timescale to be useful.

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Brilliant stuff as always, love how clear and concise the data is.

I'm guessing this is a given, short equities impacts portfolio volatility too much hence neutral stance vs short?

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Thank you for your great work. Can I just get a reminder, is mandate long only or also shorts? As of now zero equities, just cash, fixed income and commodities? Thanks again

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author

Our pleasure. It's long/short, but shorts are tactical. Exposures are as shown above.

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Thank you for your reply. Have a nice weekend.

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Have you ever thought about an Eur allocation portfolio. Asking for a friend. Great work!

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author

Will happen in time. We’ve started to look to other countries to extend our framework. Hopefully soon!

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Would be awesome. Personally, it'd be great to see ETF selection that benefits Europeans (e.g. Irish UCITS to optimize withholding taxes) but expresses largely the same views as the primary portfolio. You may also want to address currency hedging on the premise that some investors may denominate in EUR.

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